You know, Hillary could win

LARRY ANDERSON
Larry Anderson

Last week, I presented a slew of reasons why Hillary Rodham Clinton could lose her forthcoming bid to be the next President of the United States.

This week, I am offering some thoughts on how she could win.

I will point these out in the fervent hope that Clinton will lose. It would be even better for America if she failed to get the nomination, but I don’t think anyone seriously believes that will happen. Her profile in our media-crazed nation is too potent.

Hillary Clinton could win the election in 2016 if she is able to capture 40 percent of the white vote.

She has to have that number, according to data gathered at the close of Election 2014 when Republicans pounded the Left hugely and took control of the House and Senate.

This data was gathered through exit polls conducted for Associated Press by Edison Research.

The Democrats didn’t get the necessary 40 percent in ’14.

If HRC’s campaign strategy achieves that number, she will win, barring hard-to-predict shifts in other demographics.

Clinton will have her work cut out. The white vote numbers for Democrats have been slipping for at least a decade. For example, in ’08, 53 percent of whites voted Republican; in ’14, 60 percent of whites went conservative.

Now, things are always different in a presidential election, but the fact the number went up significantly since Obama was elected defines Clinton’s strategy for electioneering.

If HRC is willing to work hard at getting the white vote back for her party, she could not only win, but pave the road for Democrat recovery, post-Obama.

If she dismisses the white vote by following the modern liberal pattern of demonstrable disdain for all things Caucasian, it will be at her political peril.

We’ll see how smart she is and how cognizant to her potential strategy white voters are.

As all who pay attention know, the Left is working industriously to hammer down the black and Latino vote.

The fact that in the last election, 90 percent of blacks and 62 percent of Hispanics voted Democrat for seats in the House demonstrates the Left‘s skill at bringing the vote in.

HRC must maintain those numbers to win.

Certainty of them by late summer in ’16 will free her to concentrate on the skeptical and angry white block. Perception over truth has worked for her in the past.

Hillary could win if she makes progress for her party in certain regions of the country, notably in the South where the collapse of the Democrat Party is undeniable.

In all nine of the states polled by Edison Research following Election ’14, every one went heavily Republican.

In Mississippi, only 16 percent of white voters voted Democrat; 81 percent voted Republican. In Texas 22 percent of white voters voted Democrat; 74 percent voted Republican.

Texas is the second largest state in the Union, population wise, and is too big to write off, even though, obviously, Dems aren’t popular there among whites.

If Hillary is as good as she thinks she is and succeeds in making inroads in this stubborn state, she could win.

I think HRC can lose one of the big eight states, but I don’t think she can lose two and become president. Texas is a long shot, a Democrat Alamo, if you will.

Also, Florida, another big eight state, is Jeb Bush territory.

No guarantee there, but if Clinton bulls her way to victory in one or both states, she substantially improves her chances.

She will probably win wacked-out California and New York, but Ohio, with a popular Republican governor, John Kasich, is seriously in doubt at this point.

Even Illinois, another biggie, has a Republican governor now, and the upper Midwest seems supportive of Scott Walker, a conservative contender from Wisconsin, a medium but influential state.

If HRC revives the moribund “War on Women” theme successfully, it could galvanize a substantial block of female votes. The risk is alienating as many male voters who are justifiably tired of hearing how awful they are.

If Clinton can defend current liberal policies concerning the border, health care and health insurance, stagnation of industry and the wages contained therein, absurd trade policies, deficit spending, the insane compilation of debt, immigration, and a grocery list of other impact issues, then, sure, she could win.

The problem for her is those policies are largely indefensible.

Conservatives aren’t saddled with the Obama legacy; Clinton is.

Can she convince the nation she is her own person, not a leftover Obama acolyte?

If so, she could win.

Then, get ready for another four years of Obamaism. Politically, Obama and Clinton are twins, soon to be evident, despite the usual denials.

Larry W. Anderson’s novel, I, Eugenius, is now available on Amazon.